Pre-tourney Rankings
Southern Illinois
Missouri Valley
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.5#159
Expected Predictive Rating-1.9#193
Pace62.6#296
Improvement+5.5#14

Offense
Total Offense+0.4#165
Improvement+2.1#72

Defense
Total Defense+0.1#168
Improvement+3.4#42
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2013 65   @ Missouri L 59-72 17%     0 - 1 -2.2 -10.3 +7.9
  Nov 16, 2013 42   Saint Louis L 67-76 24%     0 - 2 -1.2 +5.8 -7.4
  Nov 19, 2013 292   @ Austin Peay L 70-72 73%     0 - 3 -7.7 -10.5 +2.9
  Nov 25, 2013 92   St. Bonaventure L 71-83 31%     0 - 4 -6.3 +0.5 -6.9
  Nov 26, 2013 337   Stetson W 67-48 90%     1 - 4 +5.5 -6.3 +13.5
  Nov 27, 2013 133   San Diego L 56-59 43%     1 - 5 -0.7 -6.2 +5.1
  Nov 30, 2013 286   @ Chicago St. L 84-88 70%     1 - 6 -8.8 +5.7 -14.2
  Dec 07, 2013 181   Western Kentucky L 60-69 66%     1 - 7 -12.8 -4.9 -9.1
  Dec 17, 2013 167   @ Murray St. L 65-73 41%     1 - 8 -5.2 -11.2 +6.4
  Dec 21, 2013 287   Ball St. W 66-58 86%     2 - 8 -2.9 -3.9 +1.9
  Dec 23, 2013 289   SIU Edwardsville W 74-57 86%     3 - 8 +5.8 -4.8 +10.7
  Dec 29, 2013 208   @ Miami (OH) L 65-67 51%     3 - 9 -1.7 -6.3 +4.6
  Jan 02, 2014 7   Wichita St. L 67-82 11%     3 - 10 0 - 1 -0.9 +15.6 -19.6
  Jan 05, 2014 150   @ Illinois St. L 48-66 36%     3 - 11 0 - 2 -13.8 -17.4 +2.7
  Jan 08, 2014 231   @ Loyola Chicago W 71-67 57%     4 - 11 1 - 2 +2.7 +4.7 -1.6
  Jan 11, 2014 204   Evansville L 69-75 71%     4 - 12 1 - 3 -11.2 -6.4 -4.8
  Jan 14, 2014 96   Northern Iowa W 68-66 43%     5 - 12 2 - 3 +4.2 +0.4 +4.0
  Jan 17, 2014 199   @ Bradley L 60-66 50%     5 - 13 2 - 4 -5.4 +7.3 -14.5
  Jan 22, 2014 176   Drake L 54-57 66%     5 - 14 2 - 5 -6.7 -10.4 +3.1
  Jan 25, 2014 151   @ Missouri St. L 63-69 36%     5 - 15 2 - 6 -1.9 +8.3 -11.8
  Jan 29, 2014 115   Indiana St. W 79-60 49%     6 - 15 3 - 6 +19.9 +7.3 +12.5
  Feb 01, 2014 231   Loyola Chicago W 81-76 OT 76%     7 - 15 4 - 6 -1.9 +4.4 -6.2
  Feb 04, 2014 176   @ Drake W 74-58 45%     8 - 15 5 - 6 +17.9 +7.5 +11.7
  Feb 08, 2014 151   Missouri St. W 72-54 58%     9 - 15 6 - 6 +16.5 +2.4 +15.3
  Feb 11, 2014 7   @ Wichita St. L 67-78 5%     9 - 16 6 - 7 +8.6 +6.1 +2.3
  Feb 15, 2014 115   @ Indiana St. L 57-60 28%     9 - 17 6 - 8 +3.4 -2.1 +5.0
  Feb 18, 2014 199   Bradley W 75-64 70%     10 - 17 7 - 8 +6.0 +4.9 +1.6
  Feb 22, 2014 204   @ Evansville W 61-56 50%     11 - 17 8 - 8 +5.4 -3.0 +9.1
  Feb 26, 2014 96   @ Northern Iowa L 54-73 24%     11 - 18 8 - 9 -11.2 -4.3 -11.8
  Mar 01, 2014 150   Illinois St. W 66-65 57%     12 - 18 9 - 9 -0.4 +8.6 -8.8
  Mar 07, 2014 96   Northern Iowa W 63-58 33%     13 - 18 +10.0 -11.4 +21.3
  Mar 08, 2014 115   Indiana St. L 59-62 38%     13 - 19 +0.7 -1.0 +1.2
Projected Record 13.0 - 19.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%